SPAL vs Benevento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
26.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 1
SPA
53%
25%
21%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2016 |
SPA
4 - 0
TER
55%
25%
21%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
LEO
3 - 1
SPA
35%
29%
36%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
SPA
2 - 1
SPE
41%
28%
31%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
CTT
1 - 2
SPA
57%
24%
20%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Benevento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2016 |
BEN
1 - 0
PIS
53%
27%
19%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2016 |
FRO
3 - 2
BEN
56%
24%
20%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
BEN
0 - 0
ASC
49%
27%
24%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
AVE
1 - 1
BEN
32%
27%
41%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2016 |
BEN
2 - 1
CES
35%
29%
36%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |