South Melbourne vs Dandenong Thunder SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.2%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
17.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+126%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Melbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
SOU
2 - 1
PLI
42%
26%
32%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2025 |
STA
2 - 2
SOU
13%
23%
64%
|
58 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
SOU
4 - 2
MEL
70%
18%
12%
|
57 | 31 | 26 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2025 |
MEL
0 - 2
SOU
16%
22%
62%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
SOU
0 - 2
POR
79%
15%
7%
|
57 | 37 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Dandenong Thunder SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2025 |
HEU
2 - 0
DAN
62%
21%
16%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2025 |
DAN
6 - 0
ALM
67%
18%
14%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2025 |
DAC
1 - 2
DAN
39%
24%
37%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
DAN
1 - 1
HUM
47%
23%
30%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2025 |
GRE
3 - 1
DAN
37%
24%
39%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |