Sourense vs Marítimo II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
55.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
FAL
1 - 1
SOU
9%
16%
75%
|
25 | 11 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
SOU
1 - 2
OLE
27%
22%
51%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
FAV
2 - 1
SOU
23%
21%
56%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
SOU
0 - 2
ADN
31%
24%
45%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -2 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
ADM
4 - 2
SOU
64%
20%
16%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Marítimo II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
MAR
2 - 1
MAR
60%
20%
20%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
BEN
1 - 0
MAR
66%
20%
14%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
UDL
2 - 1
MAR
79%
14%
7%
|
40 | 56 | 16 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
MAR
6 - 0
FAL
89%
9%
3%
|
39 | 12 | 27 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2018 |
OLE
4 - 2
MAR
27%
23%
51%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | -2 |