Sorriso EC vs Nova Mutum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.4%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
64.8%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.1%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sorriso EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
LTD
0 - 0
SOR
53%
22%
25%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
SOR
2 - 2
LTD
26%
23%
51%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
LTD
2 - 1
SOR
53%
22%
25%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
SOR
1 - 1
ACA
26%
22%
52%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2021 |
SOR
1 - 1
LUV
22%
21%
57%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Nova Mutum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2021 |
NME
1 - 1
VIL
11%
18%
70%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2021 |
VIL
3 - 0
NME
63%
21%
16%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
NME
1 - 0
BRA
22%
22%
56%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +2 |
| 28 Oct. 2021 |
BRA
1 - 0
NME
59%
21%
21%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
RIO
1 - 4
NME
14%
19%
67%
|
52 | 32 | 20 | +1 |