Sora vs Civitavecchia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.3%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.3%
9.3%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
PRO
2 - 1
SOR
14%
20%
67%
|
42 | 17 | 25 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
SOR
0 - 0
ARZ
74%
16%
10%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
MON
0 - 2
SOR
33%
24%
43%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
SOR
1 - 1
SEL
64%
20%
16%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
SOR
1 - 1
CIT
63%
20%
17%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Civitavecchia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
CIV
2 - 2
FID
40%
24%
36%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
CIT
0 - 0
CIV
67%
19%
14%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
CIV
1 - 2
ANZ
66%
19%
15%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
SAL
2 - 1
CIV
81%
13%
5%
|
26 | 61 | 35 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
CIV
2 - 2
POR
45%
24%
32%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |