Somozas vs Ourense CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.8%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
15.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Somozas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
NOI
1 - 0
SOM
15%
21%
64%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
SOM
2 - 1
ALO
62%
21%
17%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
ARO
1 - 1
SOM
48%
23%
29%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
SOM
0 - 0
CEL
78%
15%
7%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 2
SOM
41%
24%
35%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Ourense CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
OUR
3 - 2
CUL
55%
22%
22%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
COM
3 - 0
OUR
76%
15%
9%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
OUR
3 - 1
BAR
59%
23%
19%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
BOI
1 - 3
OUR
68%
19%
13%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | +2 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
OUR
0 - 0
RCV
29%
27%
44%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |