Somozas vs Celta Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
60%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Somozas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
BET
1 - 1
SOM
41%
25%
34%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
SOM
2 - 2
PON
38%
26%
36%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
VIL
2 - 1
SOM
31%
26%
43%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -2 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
SOM
0 - 0
NAR
75%
16%
9%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
RCF
2 - 0
SOM
73%
17%
10%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Celta Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
CEL
2 - 2
PON
72%
18%
11%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
NAR
1 - 3
CEL
9%
16%
75%
|
46 | 20 | 26 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
CEL
1 - 1
CEL
85%
11%
4%
|
47 | 24 | 23 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
NEG
0 - 2
CEL
11%
18%
71%
|
46 | 26 | 20 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
CEL
3 - 1
RCV
77%
15%
8%
|
46 | 29 | 17 | 0 |