Somozas vs Celta Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.2%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
48.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Somozas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1998 |
SOM
0 - 1
VIV
37%
27%
36%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1998 |
LEM
1 - 0
SOM
57%
25%
18%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1998 |
SOM
0 - 2
GON
48%
25%
27%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 1998 |
CAS
4 - 1
SOM
59%
23%
18%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1998 |
SOM
1 - 1
CER
56%
24%
20%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Celta Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1998 |
CEL
0 - 1
LEM
65%
20%
15%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1998 |
GON
0 - 4
CEL
32%
28%
40%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | +2 |
| 04 Oct. 1998 |
CEL
1 - 0
CAS
62%
21%
17%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1998 |
CER
1 - 2
CEL
31%
29%
41%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1998 |
CEL
1 - 2
ALO
80%
14%
6%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | -1 |