Somozas vs Barco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.3%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
25.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Somozas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
SOM
0 - 0
ALO
61%
22%
18%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
BAR
3 - 1
SOM
38%
25%
36%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | -2 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
SOM
2 - 0
PON
76%
16%
9%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
SOF
0 - 1
SOM
21%
24%
56%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
SOM
3 - 1
DEP
55%
23%
22%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Barco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
BAR
3 - 0
ARN
77%
15%
8%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
ARZ
1 - 0
BAR
27%
24%
49%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
BAR
3 - 1
SOM
38%
25%
36%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | +2 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
ALO
2 - 1
BAR
32%
26%
42%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
BAR
2 - 1
PON
69%
18%
13%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |