Somerset Trojans vs St. George.s Colts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.1%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
27.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Somerset Trojans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
SOM
1 - 0
ROB
49%
22%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
DEV
1 - 2
SOM
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
FLA
2 - 0
SOM
51%
21%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
SOU
1 - 2
SOM
47%
24%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
SOM
0 - 0
NOR
49%
23%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
St. George.s Colts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
HOR
3 - 2
STG
59%
20%
21%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
PHC
2 - 1
STG
54%
22%
24%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
ROB
4 - 1
STG
51%
22%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
FLA
2 - 0
STG
54%
21%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
STG
1 - 0
NOR
49%
22%
30%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |