Sol de América Formosa vs Guaraní A. Franco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.1%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.9%
62%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
16.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.2%
0-2
13.8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní A. Franco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1985 |
PLA
1 - 0
GAF
62%
22%
16%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1985 |
GAF
0 - 0
PLA
50%
25%
25%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1985 |
GAF
2 - 1
HUR
54%
24%
22%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 1985 |
GAF
2 - 0
TAL
42%
26%
32%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 1985 |
IND
3 - 0
GAF
80%
12%
7%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |