Sol de América vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.7%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
26.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sol de América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2016 |
NAC
2 - 1
AME
37%
28%
36%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
AME
1 - 1
LQE
53%
23%
24%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
AME
3 - 2
CCP
46%
24%
30%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2016 |
AME
1 - 2
RÑU
58%
22%
20%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
GUA
2 - 1
AME
59%
22%
19%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2016 |
LIB
1 - 1
CCP
52%
25%
23%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2016 |
DEP
0 - 1
LIB
34%
28%
38%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
LIB
1 - 1
RPA
70%
20%
11%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
LIB
0 - 0
GUA
43%
24%
32%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
GEN
0 - 2
LIB
28%
28%
45%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |