SG Lucense vs Celta Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.1%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
5%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.2%
12.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SG Lucense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1945 |
ORE
3 - 1
SGL
62%
19%
20%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1945 |
SGL
5 - 0
GAF
75%
14%
11%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1945 |
PON
3 - 1
SGL
51%
21%
29%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -2 |
| 23 Sep. 1945 |
BER
4 - 2
SGL
46%
22%
32%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 1945 |
SGL
0 - 4
BET
84%
10%
6%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | -2 |
Matches
Celta Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1945 |
CEL
1 - 4
BER
51%
21%
28%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1945 |
BET
3 - 0
CEL
39%
23%
38%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | -2 |
| 30 Sep. 1945 |
CEL
4 - 3
LEM
64%
18%
18%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 1945 |
SAN
1 - 0
CEL
54%
21%
25%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 1945 |
CEL
2 - 2
PON
63%
19%
18%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -1 |