Social vs Democrata GV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
39.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Social
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
DEM
1 - 0
SOC
51%
24%
26%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
SOC
4 - 0
AME
29%
25%
46%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +3 |
| 26 Feb. 2014 |
0 - 1
SOC
65%
20%
15%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
TRI
1 - 1
SOC
38%
26%
37%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
SOC
1 - 0
DEM
53%
23%
23%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Democrata GV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
DEM
1 - 0
SOC
51%
24%
26%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
TRI
3 - 0
DEM
26%
25%
50%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | -2 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
AME
3 - 2
DEM
45%
24%
31%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
DEM
1 - 0
DEM
73%
17%
10%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
DEM
1 - 0
36%
26%
38%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |