SNL vs Notch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.4%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
24.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SNL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
SNL
1 - 3
RHO
45%
23%
33%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2017 |
SNL
0 - 2
TRA
51%
23%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
INT
3 - 1
SNL
54%
22%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
SNL
1 - 1
NIS
49%
21%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2017 |
SNL
1 - 2
WBC
41%
22%
37%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Notch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
BOT
4 - 2
NOT
55%
22%
23%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
NOT
0 - 1
VIC
45%
24%
31%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
NOT
0 - 1
VOO
46%
24%
30%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
RHO
8 - 0
NOT
59%
21%
20%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
NOT
0 - 4
WBC
44%
22%
34%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |