Smiltene vs JFC Jelgava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
91%
Win probability
3.8
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.7%
8-0
1.3%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.7%
7-0
2.7%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3.6%
6-0
5%
7-1
1.7%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
7%
5-0
7.9%
6-1
3.1%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
11.6%
4-0
10.4%
5-1
4.9%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
+4
16.5%
3-0
11%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
6.2%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
2.8%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
6.2%
2.6%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Smiltene
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
GRO
1 - 2
SMI
53%
21%
26%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
ASK
0 - 6
SMI
4%
8%
88%
|
54 | 13 | 41 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
ALB
1 - 1
SMI
44%
23%
33%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
SMI
5 - 0
SAL
67%
18%
15%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
DRS
4 - 0
SMI
36%
24%
40%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
JFC Jelgava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
JFC
5 - 2
SPS
72%
16%
12%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
JFC
5 - 0
RIG
72%
16%
12%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
RTU
1 - 1
JFC
85%
11%
5%
|
17 | 51 | 34 | 0 |