Skive vs Aarhus Fremad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.5%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
64%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
5º
9º
9º
48
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 50 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 28 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 24 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 21 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 0 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Skive
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
BRA
1 - 0
SKI
30%
25%
45%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
SKI
0 - 1
HEL
54%
23%
23%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
SKI
0 - 0
SIK
32%
24%
44%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2023 |
SON
1 - 3
SKI
79%
14%
7%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2023 |
SKI
1 - 0
SKI
48%
23%
29%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Aarhus Fremad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
FRE
0 - 1
AAF
16%
20%
64%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
AAF
1 - 1
AKA
54%
23%
23%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
ESB
0 - 2
AAF
28%
25%
47%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2023 |
AAF
0 - 3
FCN
20%
22%
58%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2023 |
OBK
3 - 2
AAF
60%
21%
19%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |