UCL Qualifying 2nd Round Final
Global 1-1
KF Skënderbeu vs BATE Borisov analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
28.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KF Skënderbeu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2014 |
BAT
0 - 0
KFS
56%
23%
21%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
KFS
1 - 2
LAÇ
66%
21%
14%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
PAR
1 - 2
KFS
23%
28%
49%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2014 |
KFS
3 - 3
KUK
56%
24%
20%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
TEU
2 - 1
KFS
33%
28%
40%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
BATE Borisov
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2014 |
FKS
1 - 3
BAT
23%
27%
51%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2014 |
BAT
0 - 0
KFS
56%
23%
21%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2014 |
BAT
1 - 1
TOR
65%
22%
14%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2014 |
BAT
4 - 0
DIN
68%
20%
12%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2014 |
BEL
1 - 2
BAT
31%
27%
42%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |