Syria vs Lebanon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
24.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Syria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2002 |
BHR
2 - 0
SYR
41%
25%
34%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2002 |
YEM
0 - 4
SYR
25%
23%
52%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2002 |
JOR
3 - 0
SYR
44%
26%
30%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2002 |
BHR
2 - 3
SYR
42%
26%
32%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2002 |
CHN
3 - 1
SYR
77%
15%
8%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Lebanon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2002 |
KSA
1 - 0
LBN
86%
10%
4%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2002 |
KSA
1 - 1
LBN
86%
10%
4%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2002 |
IRN
2 - 0
LBN
85%
11%
4%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2002 |
LBN
0 - 1
JOR
50%
25%
25%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2001 |
THA
2 - 2
LBN
78%
14%
9%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +1 |