Siracusa vs Paganese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.1%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
21.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siracusa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
FCC
1 - 0
SIR
25%
27%
48%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
NUO
1 - 2
SIR
40%
27%
33%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
SIR
2 - 1
CAS
45%
26%
29%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +2 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
AKR
1 - 0
SIR
33%
26%
41%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
SIR
1 - 1
REG
66%
20%
14%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2017 |
TAR
0 - 4
PAG
26%
28%
47%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
PAG
1 - 1
USV
66%
22%
13%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
AKR
1 - 2
PAG
43%
26%
32%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
PAG
2 - 0
FON
47%
26%
27%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +2 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
USF
3 - 1
PAG
78%
15%
7%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | -1 |