Simba SC vs Mwadui analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.2%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.1%
5.7%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Simba SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2020 |
SIM
0 - 1
RUV
83%
12%
5%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2020 |
TAN
1 - 0
SIM
14%
25%
61%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
JKT
0 - 4
SIM
15%
27%
58%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
SIM
3 - 0
GFC
81%
14%
6%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
SIM
4 - 0
BUM
79%
15%
6%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Mwadui
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
MWA
1 - 6
JKT
55%
24%
21%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2020 |
MWA
2 - 1
MBE
56%
24%
20%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2020 |
AZA
3 - 0
MWA
68%
20%
12%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
NAM
0 - 1
MWA
58%
25%
17%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
MWA
2 - 0
IFC
47%
25%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |