Simba SC vs Mtibwa Sugar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.4%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
19.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+91%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Simba SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2018 |
KAK
0 - 0
SIM
44%
26%
30%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2018 |
MMA
1 - 1
SIM
27%
30%
43%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
SIM
0 - 1
KAG
64%
22%
14%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
SUT
0 - 1
SIM
46%
28%
26%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
SIM
1 - 0
NDA
73%
17%
10%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Mtibwa Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2018 |
MTI
0 - 0
MBE
47%
28%
25%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
NMF
0 - 1
MTI
34%
28%
38%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2018 |
MTI
0 - 1
LFC
44%
29%
27%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
MTI
1 - 0
YOU
42%
28%
30%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
MMA
0 - 0
MTI
33%
29%
38%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |