Siena vs Ternana Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.8%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
17.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.9%
1-0
17.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.4%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
18.7%
7.6%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
JUS
2 - 2
SIE
22%
26%
52%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
SIE
3 - 2
BAR
62%
23%
15%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
NOV
2 - 1
SIE
35%
26%
39%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
SIE
5 - 2
CRO
63%
23%
14%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
LIV
0 - 1
SIE
45%
25%
30%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2013 |
TER
1 - 2
BRE
33%
28%
39%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
AVE
1 - 0
TER
53%
26%
21%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
CTT
2 - 2
TER
50%
27%
22%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
TER
1 - 0
CAR
54%
26%
20%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
TER
2 - 4
LEC
33%
26%
42%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |