Shonan Bellmare vs Kataller Toyama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.4%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
14.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shonan Bellmare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
SAG
2 - 0
SHO
66%
21%
14%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
SHO
3 - 2
MIT
66%
21%
14%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
KAT
2 - 3
SHO
40%
26%
34%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
ROA
1 - 1
SHO
48%
26%
26%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
SHO
1 - 1
GIR
58%
23%
20%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Kataller Toyama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
KAT
1 - 1
KYO
26%
26%
48%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
TOC
1 - 2
KAT
66%
22%
12%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
KAT
2 - 3
SHO
40%
26%
34%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
KAT
1 - 0
OIT
26%
27%
47%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
KAT
1 - 0
FCT
11%
22%
68%
|
50 | 77 | 27 | +1 |