Shildon AFC vs Ashington AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.4%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.5%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
20.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shildon AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
SOU
1 - 1
SHI
51%
22%
27%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
SHI
0 - 2
SOU
18%
21%
61%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2024 |
SHI
0 - 1
SPE
17%
20%
63%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2024 |
NOR
0 - 3
SHI
8%
15%
77%
|
37 | 15 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
BTF
0 - 2
SHI
31%
21%
48%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Ashington AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
CRO
2 - 1
ASH
15%
20%
65%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
CON
4 - 1
ASH
63%
20%
17%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
BIS
1 - 2
ASH
73%
16%
11%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | +2 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
ASH
1 - 1
BIS
15%
19%
67%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
ASH
4 - 0
SPE
9%
16%
75%
|
27 | 50 | 23 | +1 |