UCL Qualifying First round Final
Global 4-4
Sheriff vs FC Astana-1964 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
23.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sheriff
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2002 |
SHF
3 - 2
ACH
77%
17%
7%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2002 |
ZIM
1 - 1
SHF
46%
25%
30%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2002 |
PET
0 - 0
SHF
26%
25%
49%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2002 |
SHF
5 - 1
HEC
82%
13%
5%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2002 |
TIR
4 - 2
SHF
29%
26%
45%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
FC Astana-1964
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2002 |
FCA
3 - 1
KAI
72%
18%
10%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2002 |
FCA
1 - 0
KAI
58%
22%
20%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2002 |
ATY
1 - 0
FCA
42%
26%
33%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2002 |
FCA
0 - 0
FCA
39%
26%
35%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2002 |
ATY
2 - 0
FCA
44%
23%
32%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |