Shamakhi vs FK Sabail analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
25.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-34%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
6º
10º
10º
29
5º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
81 | 81 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shamakhi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2023 |
SHA
0 - 1
NAP
38%
26%
36%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2022 |
FKN
3 - 0
SHA
67%
20%
14%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2022 |
SHA
0 - 0
ZIR
25%
29%
46%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
SFK
1 - 1
SHA
67%
20%
13%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2022 |
SHA
1 - 1
FCK
63%
22%
14%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
FK Sabail
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2023 |
FKS
1 - 0
SEB
63%
20%
17%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2023 |
SEB
0 - 0
BOH
17%
20%
64%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
WAR
2 - 2
SEB
80%
14%
6%
|
58 | 79 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2022 |
SEB
0 - 3
QAR
19%
25%
56%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2022 |
SFK
0 - 1
SEB
76%
16%
9%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | +1 |