Sham Shui Po vs Southern District analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.8%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.1%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.1%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.9%
69.4%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
14.5%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
9º
10º
9º
31
2º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
46 | 46 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 31 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
31 | 31 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 26 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 20 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 1 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sham Shui Po
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
SHA
1 - 0
HKU
27%
23%
50%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
HON
2 - 0
SHA
83%
12%
5%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
SHA
0 - 2
RES
28%
24%
48%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
KFC
7 - 0
SHA
87%
10%
3%
|
42 | 70 | 28 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
SHA
0 - 4
WAR
11%
19%
70%
|
43 | 66 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
Southern District
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
EAS
0 - 1
SDI
60%
22%
18%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
SDI
0 - 2
WAR
45%
25%
31%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
WTP
2 - 0
SDI
20%
24%
57%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
HKU
1 - 3
SDI
18%
22%
60%
|
65 | 46 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
SDI
2 - 1
BIU
62%
20%
18%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |