Sham Shui Po vs Hong Kong U23 XI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
31%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
8º
10º
9º
9
8º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 54 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
12 | 12 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
9 | 9 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 7 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2 qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sham Shui Po
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
SDI
1 - 1
SHA
83%
11%
6%
|
41 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
WAR
3 - 1
SHA
86%
11%
4%
|
41 | 70 | 29 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
BIU
4 - 3
SHA
77%
15%
8%
|
42 | 61 | 19 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
KFC
5 - 1
SHA
87%
10%
3%
|
42 | 68 | 26 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
SHA
0 - 1
RES
34%
25%
41%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Hong Kong U23 XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
HKU
1 - 3
NDT
30%
24%
47%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
HKU
1 - 1
HON
18%
19%
63%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
HKU
0 - 5
BIU
18%
20%
62%
|
41 | 60 | 19 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
SHA
1 - 0
HKU
33%
22%
45%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
SDI
5 - 1
HKU
80%
12%
8%
|
42 | 63 | 21 | -1 |