Shahtyor vs Aruan Nartkala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.1%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.4%
60.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shahtyor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2001 |
AST
3 - 1
SHA
77%
16%
8%
|
12 | 31 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2001 |
SHA
2 - 3
KRD
14%
24%
62%
|
12 | 41 | 29 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2001 |
ARG
2 - 2
SHA
76%
15%
9%
|
12 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2001 |
ANG
2 - 0
SHA
81%
13%
6%
|
12 | 42 | 30 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2001 |
SHA
0 - 1
DMA
13%
23%
64%
|
13 | 46 | 33 | -1 |
Matches
Aruan Nartkala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2001 |
ARN
0 - 1
ANG
27%
26%
47%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2001 |
DMA
2 - 0
ARN
72%
17%
11%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2001 |
ARN
4 - 0
LOK
76%
15%
8%
|
27 | 12 | 15 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2001 |
DIN
1 - 0
ARN
68%
19%
13%
|
28 | 48 | 20 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2001 |
ARN
2 - 0
FKM
67%
20%
13%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | +1 |