Neuilly Sur Marne vs FC Gueugnon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
32.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+53%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
2º
9º
7º
15
9º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 56 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 53 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 45 |
3º
|
95.5% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
95.5% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 39 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 39 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
31 | 36 |
7º
|
81.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 34 |
8º
|
66.5% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
64% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
64% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 18 |
13º
|
55.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
15 | 15 |
14º
|
55.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neuilly Sur Marne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
NEU
1 - 0
MON
69%
17%
14%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
NEU
2 - 3
MFC
38%
23%
40%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
SML
0 - 1
NEU
77%
14%
9%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
NEU
2 - 3
IVR
35%
24%
41%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
SAR
1 - 0
NEU
54%
22%
24%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
FC Gueugnon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
FCG
1 - 2
CSL
17%
20%
64%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
DIJ
2 - 0
FCG
66%
20%
15%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
FCG
2 - 1
VES
33%
23%
45%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
YZE
0 - 1
FCG
66%
21%
14%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
FCG
2 - 1
JUR
20%
23%
58%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | +2 |