Sever Murmansk vs PFK Dimitrov analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
23.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sever Murmansk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2009 |
SEV
1 - 2
TOR
53%
24%
23%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2009 |
PSK
0 - 1
SEV
38%
26%
36%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
SAC
2 - 1
SEV
75%
16%
10%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2008 |
SEV
3 - 1
IST
58%
22%
21%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2008 |
SEV
2 - 1
NAR
59%
22%
19%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
PFK Dimitrov
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2009 |
DIN
4 - 0
PFK
64%
20%
16%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
TOR
0 - 1
PFK
51%
25%
24%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2008 |
PFK
2 - 1
DIN
33%
25%
41%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2008 |
PFK
2 - 0
PSK
42%
26%
32%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +2 |
| 22 Oct. 2008 |
TOR
2 - 0
PFK
71%
18%
10%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | -1 |