Sesimbra vs Monte Caparica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.5%
8.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sesimbra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
OGR
2 - 0
SES
23%
23%
55%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
SES
1 - 0
ARR
86%
10%
4%
|
27 | 9 | 18 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
CHC
0 - 1
SES
10%
18%
72%
|
27 | 9 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
LUS
3 - 1
SES
78%
15%
7%
|
28 | 51 | 23 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
SES
2 - 2
UNI
24%
24%
52%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Monte Caparica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
MCA
1 - 0
PAL
72%
17%
12%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
OMO
1 - 3
MCA
24%
22%
54%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
MCA
1 - 1
CIN
47%
23%
31%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |