Servette vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
28.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Servette
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2018 |
NEX
1 - 1
SER
64%
20%
15%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2018 |
SCH
0 - 1
SER
51%
24%
25%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
SER
1 - 1
CHI
60%
23%
17%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2018 |
SER
3 - 1
STA
61%
22%
18%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2018 |
MAT
1 - 1
SER
65%
20%
15%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
FCA
4 - 1
CHI
60%
22%
18%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2018 |
NEX
3 - 1
FCA
65%
19%
16%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2018 |
FCA
2 - 1
SCH
36%
25%
39%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
MAT
1 - 1
FCA
67%
18%
15%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
FCA
3 - 0
CHI
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |