Sertãozinho vs Capivariano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
38.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+63%
+55%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sertãozinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2017 |
XVD
1 - 3
SER
68%
20%
12%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
SER
0 - 1
SAO
17%
24%
59%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
RIO
2 - 1
SER
44%
26%
31%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
SER
2 - 0
RIO
38%
27%
35%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
SER
0 - 0
MAT
41%
26%
33%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Capivariano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2017 |
CAP
1 - 1
RIO
50%
24%
26%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
JUV
1 - 1
CAP
29%
26%
46%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
BOT
2 - 0
CAP
44%
25%
30%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
CAP
3 - 5
SAN
15%
25%
60%
|
58 | 87 | 29 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2016 |
CAP
1 - 1
SAO
30%
25%
45%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |