Sertanense vs Vitoria de Sernache analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
25.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-65%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
CAL
2 - 1
SER
50%
27%
23%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
ALC
1 - 1
SER
47%
26%
27%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
SER
2 - 0
PEN
66%
21%
14%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
SER
0 - 2
ADM
61%
21%
18%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
CRA
1 - 1
SER
13%
20%
67%
|
48 | 24 | 24 | -2 |
Matches
Vitoria de Sernache
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
VIT
0 - 1
ALC
29%
25%
46%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
VIT
0 - 0
ADM
44%
25%
31%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
NAV
2 - 2
VIT
40%
25%
34%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
VIT
1 - 1
CAL
23%
24%
53%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | +2 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
PEN
1 - 2
VIT
28%
24%
49%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |