Sertanense vs RD Agueda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
19.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
ANA
1 - 0
SER
43%
26%
32%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
SER
4 - 0
SOU
70%
20%
11%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
MAR
1 - 1
SER
18%
24%
59%
|
47 | 31 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
SER
2 - 0
BEN
28%
27%
45%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +2 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
MAR
0 - 2
SER
49%
25%
26%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
RD Agueda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
RDA
2 - 5
UDL
17%
24%
60%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
RDA
0 - 1
ANA
36%
26%
38%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
SOU
1 - 1
RDA
25%
22%
53%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
RDA
4 - 0
MAR
67%
18%
15%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
BEN
1 - 0
RDA
71%
17%
11%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | -1 |