Sertanense vs Oleiros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
31%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
PEN
2 - 1
SER
23%
26%
52%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
SER
3 - 0
PRA
27%
26%
47%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +2 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
VIT
2 - 3
SER
30%
26%
43%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
SER
4 - 0
IDA
52%
23%
25%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
CON
0 - 1
SER
44%
24%
32%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Oleiros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
OLE
0 - 1
MAR
54%
24%
23%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
GDF
2 - 0
OLE
55%
24%
21%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2021 |
OLE
1 - 0
BEN
41%
26%
33%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
OLE
1 - 2
CON
57%
22%
21%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
PEN
1 - 1
OLE
23%
25%
52%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | -1 |