Sertanense vs Fontinhas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.1%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
21.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
BMA
1 - 1
SER
86%
10%
3%
|
40 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
SER
1 - 1
OLE
41%
27%
32%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
SER
0 - 2
ANA
18%
24%
58%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | -2 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
MAR
1 - 2
SER
36%
23%
41%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
SER
2 - 0
TOR
49%
25%
26%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Fontinhas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
GDF
1 - 2
BEN
28%
26%
46%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
GDF
1 - 3
PIN
39%
22%
39%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -2 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
GDF
1 - 1
UDL
15%
22%
63%
|
35 | 52 | 17 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
PRA
2 - 1
GDF
79%
15%
7%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | -1 |