Sertanense vs Ferreiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.3%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
16.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
SER
1 - 0
PAM
66%
20%
14%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
SOU
4 - 3
SER
21%
25%
54%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
SER
1 - 2
BEN
55%
23%
22%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2013 |
ADN
1 - 2
SER
21%
25%
55%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
SER
2 - 1
NAV
30%
26%
43%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Ferreiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
FCB
1 - 2
FER
76%
16%
8%
|
38 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
FER
0 - 0
LAG
67%
19%
14%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
QUA
1 - 1
FER
41%
24%
35%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2013 |
FER
1 - 2
COV
26%
25%
50%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
MOU
1 - 1
FER
52%
23%
25%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |