Sertanense vs Condeixa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
36.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 0
SER
45%
25%
31%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2021 |
MOR
0 - 0
SER
37%
26%
37%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
SER
0 - 3
UDL
15%
24%
61%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | -2 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
ALC
0 - 2
SER
22%
23%
55%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
SER
1 - 1
OLE
35%
27%
38%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Condeixa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
VIT
0 - 1
CON
40%
24%
37%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2021 |
OLE
0 - 1
CON
56%
21%
23%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
CON
2 - 0
CAR
56%
21%
22%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 0
CON
51%
22%
27%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2021 |
UDL
1 - 0
CON
75%
17%
8%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | 0 |