Sertanense vs Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
22.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 3
SER
16%
22%
62%
|
52 | 29 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
SER
1 - 0
FAT
69%
20%
12%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
SER
2 - 2
TOR
58%
23%
20%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
UDL
2 - 1
SER
48%
26%
26%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
ALC
1 - 2
SER
28%
26%
46%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
CAL
5 - 1
ALC
50%
25%
25%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
ELE
1 - 0
CAL
39%
26%
35%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
MAF
1 - 2
CAL
62%
21%
17%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
CAL
2 - 1
ATL
60%
23%
17%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
UDL
1 - 3
CAL
63%
22%
15%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +2 |