Serra Macaense vs Pérolas Negras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.5%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
53.8%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serra Macaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
DUQ
1 - 2
SER
50%
25%
25%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
SER
1 - 3
RIO
61%
20%
19%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
CIG
0 - 4
SER
32%
23%
45%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
CGA
1 - 0
SER
65%
20%
15%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
SER
2 - 1
OLA
45%
25%
31%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Pérolas Negras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
PER
3 - 0
GOY
56%
23%
21%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
OLA
1 - 0
PER
22%
23%
55%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2021 |
PER
1 - 1
CMA
30%
24%
46%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
PER
1 - 0
NCI
64%
21%
15%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
PER
0 - 0
SFC
56%
23%
21%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |