Serra Macaense vs Miguel Couto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
34.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serra Macaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
MES
1 - 3
SER
36%
28%
36%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
SER
5 - 2
AME
43%
23%
33%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +2 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
BON
1 - 0
SER
72%
18%
10%
|
28 | 48 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2013 |
SER
1 - 1
CER
21%
24%
55%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
TIG
1 - 0
SER
61%
22%
17%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Miguel Couto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
SEC
2 - 1
MIG
70%
18%
12%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2009 |
MIG
1 - 2
POR
32%
26%
42%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
MIG
0 - 0
AFC
41%
25%
34%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2009 |
CGA
1 - 4
MIG
76%
16%
8%
|
34 | 59 | 25 | +3 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
MIG
1 - 0
VRE
47%
25%
28%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +1 |