Serra Macaense vs Barra Mansa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.3%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
13%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serra Macaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2024 |
CGA
1 - 1
SER
24%
22%
54%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
SER
1 - 1
BON
33%
26%
42%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2023 |
SER
0 - 1
FRI
24%
24%
52%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
SER
0 - 1
MAC
45%
24%
31%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
NCI
1 - 1
SER
37%
23%
40%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Barra Mansa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2024 |
BAR
1 - 1
NFC
63%
20%
17%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
ZFC
1 - 0
BAR
64%
19%
17%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
BAR
0 - 3
BEL
16%
18%
65%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2023 |
ADB
0 - 3
BAR
38%
22%
40%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
BAR
2 - 0
MAG
38%
23%
39%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | +1 |