Sergipe vs Itabaiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.8%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
25.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-50%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2023 |
ATG
0 - 0
SER
14%
21%
65%
|
52 | 31 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
FER
0 - 0
SER
60%
23%
17%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
SER
2 - 1
VIT
17%
23%
59%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
CON
1 - 0
SER
67%
21%
13%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2023 |
SER
1 - 0
AFP
76%
16%
8%
|
51 | 29 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Itabaiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
ITA
1 - 0
LAG
38%
27%
35%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
ITA
1 - 0
FFC
61%
22%
18%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
AME
2 - 2
ITA
15%
20%
65%
|
49 | 30 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
ITA
2 - 0
CON
16%
24%
60%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
DOR
0 - 1
ITA
17%
22%
61%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | +1 |