Sergipe vs Cuiabá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.9%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.9%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.7%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
70.3%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
15.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.1%
0-2
15.2%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.8%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
13%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2021 |
SER
1 - 1
BOC
63%
21%
16%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
DOR
0 - 3
SER
27%
24%
50%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
SER
1 - 3
LAG
61%
22%
17%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 1
SER
20%
20%
60%
|
46 | 26 | 20 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2020 |
SER
0 - 0
CON
17%
22%
61%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Cuiabá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
CUI
3 - 1
LTD
85%
11%
4%
|
69 | 41 | 28 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
SIN
0 - 2
CUI
7%
17%
76%
|
69 | 36 | 33 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
CUI
6 - 1
POC
86%
11%
4%
|
69 | 37 | 32 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2021 |
VIL
3 - 0
CUI
26%
26%
48%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | -2 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
CUI
1 - 0
VIL
64%
21%
15%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | +1 |