Sergipe vs Frei Paulistano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
35.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
AFP
1 - 2
SER
39%
25%
37%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
SER
1 - 0
ITA
36%
27%
38%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
LAG
1 - 3
SER
39%
27%
34%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +2 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
SER
1 - 0
DOR
47%
23%
31%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
AMP
0 - 3
SER
11%
17%
73%
|
37 | 7 | 30 | +1 |
Matches
Frei Paulistano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
AFP
1 - 0
ARN
17%
21%
62%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
AFP
1 - 2
SER
39%
25%
37%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2020 |
SAN
3 - 1
AFP
79%
14%
8%
|
41 | 63 | 22 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
LAG
1 - 1
AFP
27%
23%
50%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
VIT
0 - 0
AFP
85%
11%
4%
|
40 | 68 | 28 | +1 |