Sergipe vs Frei Paulistano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.2%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
9.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
BAH
3 - 0
SER
80%
15%
5%
|
49 | 73 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2017 |
SER
2 - 4
BAH
14%
22%
64%
|
49 | 73 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
ITA
0 - 0
SER
43%
27%
30%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2017 |
SER
1 - 2
VIT
12%
19%
69%
|
50 | 77 | 27 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
SER
2 - 2
CON
33%
26%
41%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Frei Paulistano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
AFP
0 - 3
BOC
45%
23%
33%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
AFP
1 - 2
ITA
22%
25%
54%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2017 |
AMA
2 - 2
AFP
42%
23%
36%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
AFP
1 - 1
CON
12%
19%
69%
|
35 | 56 | 21 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
SER
2 - 0
AFP
69%
18%
13%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | -1 |