Senegal vs Libya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.8%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.2%
11.9%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Senegal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
RSA
2 - 1
SEN
41%
29%
30%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
SEN
2 - 0
CPV
63%
23%
14%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
SEN
2 - 0
NAM
70%
20%
10%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
BDI
0 - 2
SEN
13%
23%
64%
|
83 | 59 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
RWA
0 - 2
SEN
19%
26%
55%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Libya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2016 |
LBY
0 - 1
TUN
24%
27%
49%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
COD
4 - 0
LBY
59%
23%
18%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -2 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
CPV
0 - 1
LBY
48%
26%
26%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2016 |
LBY
1 - 1
MAR
27%
28%
45%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
LBY
4 - 0
STP
81%
14%
6%
|
70 | 43 | 27 | 0 |